Oh Dad,
It's happening. Everything you called, everything you prepared us for, everything that bounds to that world from which we hail. The cycle of history begins anew, and everything my peers are not prepared for occurs just out of your reach to see your vindication.
I was the last person ever born to another world. Not a world of Europe, but a world of European immigrants, immigrants of Eastern Europe who carried their burdens tattoo'd on their arms. Yiddish speakers everywhere, in the grandparents house, in the nursing home, in the stalking streets of a Baltimore suburb to which they never belonged.
We belonged to the twentieth century when everyone we knew belonged to that bizarre event horizon between the centuries when history didn't matter, turbulence didn't matter, suffering didn't matter, life didn't matter. Now life matters again, life is threatened, and they don't know how to save lives. It sometimes seems you died at the very moment when your wisdom was necessary, but the truth is that your wisdom was always necessary. The wisdom of unreconstructed practicality is what kept us all alive for all your eighty years, from the moment of your conception to the moment of your passing, taking things as they come and solving problems as they happen. You often did it unwillingly, you were so obsessed with solving problems that you tried to solve them before they happen, but I have doubts there is such a thing that there is a problem before a problem happens, problems are unpredictable: an infinite series of black swans. But when it came to solving problems once they happened: personal and abstract, there was no one better in the world.
You were a cold warrior to your dying day, personally, not politically. Emotions did not matter to you, just the problem itself, and you solved them at the very root even as feelings were constantly bruised. You were the glory and problem of America writ small: people who solve problems as problems happen have to steamroll over everybody who isn't convinced the problem is a problem, and in the process, your practical protection became a kind of prison. It wasn't just me who rebelled against you, you were the embodiment of everything America rebelled against since 1968. You wanted us all to be safe, we all wanted to be free. To you, freedom was a myth, a tiny piecemeal thing whose share we had to settle for regardless of how it was apportioned. Even if that was what America practiced, it was the opposite of what we all preach. You were every stern, holier-than-thou father this country ever had who governed in the opposite of the American ethos and viewed us all as a collection of statistics: you were Bob McNamara, you were Henry Kissinger, you were Jimmy Carter, you were Michael Bloomberg, you were Hilary Clinton.
But it's all happening now. Events are careening out of control in entirely the way you said the world works. Every dialectical probability happened. The right went haywire my whole life, it pushed the left haywire, which made the right still more haywire. Practicality saved this country a thousand times as it's saved every country, and ideology is what tears it apart. Secular atheists lost their connection to their ancestral religions, and it pushed those who stayed with religion into every type of orthodox nuttery, which turned the secularists into their own religion of identity and solidarity. Overachievers who left their small towns turned the differently abled who stayed into feeling like rejects, which lead them into a series of arms more demagogic than the last in every decade, who gut cities of funding and made them ever more unlivable. Republicans think government is ineffective, so they work to make government ineffective, which make leftists want to revolutionize the government, which makes Republicans embrace the politics of revolution. Vulture capitalists want unregulated capitalism, which provokes Democrats to flirt with socialism, which provokes the vulture capitalists to turn the economy to a potential dictatorship of automated, artificial capitalism that fills the accounts of three people and makes all our meals dependent on whether they're feeling charitable.
We all did this to ourselves, and you always seemed so certain about it; but none of it had to happen this way, even if it usually does. Probability always stated that this was America's direction, and everything eventually dies, but haven't declining powers have saved themselves before cataclysm by adapting with the times? I can't think of when, but I'm sure if I pause on writing for enough time I'll think of examples. Just because we likely won't adapt with the times doesn't mean we shouldn't fight with every inch to make them adapt.
For years I've said the faultline of civilization is Israel, but I used to think it was the border between Greece and Turkey. It would seem currently that I was half right both times, the bad half... Israel provokes Iran, Iran fires missiles on Turkey, Turkey involves NATO, NATO fights Iran, Iran enlists Russia and China, and we're all in serious, serious trouble. A potential war now has two battlefields: somewhere between Russia and Ukraine, and somewhere between Israel and Iran. All it takes now is for China to invade Taiwan and cut off US economic interests and we have an almost unavoidable world war where all the world's major powers line up side-by-side and there won't be any world powers any longer.
Whatever's concealed in those Epstein files must be so absolutely spectacular because Trump will do literally anything to conceal what's in them, including provoke World War III. Would Trump and Netanyahu start WWIII rather than relinquish power? How is that even a question at this point? Every time Netanyahu and Trump are down in the polls, there's another war. There's another conflict that can't wait. Again Iran is three weeks from the bomb when they were three weeks away from it fifteen years ago. Governments are decapitated until the moment the polls go up, at which point the governments are left in place. First Venezuela and now Iran, we decapitate their governments not because they're strong threats, but because they're weak. They can't fight back, and it's utterly trivial to world events that we go after them any more than we already have.
Except it's not trivial. If Putin and Medvedev are serious about the incursion into Iran, then perhaps I was utterly wrong about the Trump being a Putin agent. Or maybe Trump is finally rebelling against his overlord. Put two psychopaths in a conspiracy together and one will eventually turn on the other as surely as Hitler turned on Stalin.
You told me I was a conspiracy theorist with how far I took all this. It's entirely possible you're right. But the last ten years of your life showed us that just because 49 in 50 conspiracies are insane doesn't mean the 50th didn't happen. Kissinger did promise to give Ho Chi Minh a better deal if he walked away from Lyndon Johnson's peace talks, then kept the war going another six years, anywhere from nearly 1 to nearly 5 million Vietnamese died in the extra six years and 30,000 American troops. Candidate Reagan made the same promise to Khomeini to wait on releasing the American hostages, then backed Saddam in a war to overthrow Khomeini: 500,000 to 1 million dead. Rumors of CIA involvement in elections turned out to be absolutely true in nearly every country. Rumors of r*pe in Hollywood and the Church turned out absolutely true. Rumors that FDR could have stopped Auschwitz but decided not to. We told ourselves that it was sane not to believe all this: and then a quarter of the world's conspiracies turned out true. So many things about Trump walk and talk like a duck: the Russian agent theory, the underage r*pist theory, the Deutsche Bank theory, the pay for play foreign governments theory, the lost migrant kids theory. At this point, nobody can tell us that Trump is not as nefarious as he looks: so far beyond Clinton, W, Nixon, Harding, even Burr, that he is the tectonic event from which America may fall, the event to which you spent your entire lifetime witnessing the lead up.
Just as your parents did, at least some of us will make it to the other side. Unless we change our ways, left as well as right, we are headed for exactly that cliff our old world fell off from 1914 to 1945. Whether it's 1914 now or still only 1890, we can still stop every disaster before it happens, but every day we don't turn back it gets harder and harder. You might have said that this is why you have to anticipate problems before they happen. Why does that matter? The problem is here.