Monday, April 29, 2024

One Key Point I Should Have Added Yesterday


There is always a chance that Israel is faking a willingness to invade Rafah as a means of extracting concessions, because if they are, it only works if people truly believe it. But I never put the willingness to do something so reckless past Netanyahu, and I don't put the willingness to sacrifice their people on a scale so massive past Sinwar and Hamas. There has never been a war like this in Israeli history, and there have never been actors on either side willing to sacrifice Palestinians with this much carelessness. This is not just another eruption of brief limited war, this is war in the realest sense: not total war, but the nearest thing to it, and in true war, anything is possible. Whether the threat is meant as a fake or real, it almost doesn't matter, because whether the threat was meant to be real, Israel may be pulled into doing it anyway as a means of keeping their word.

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